In and out of Lockdown: Propagation of Supply and Demand Shocks in a Dynamic Input-Output Model
نویسندگان
چکیده
Economic shocks due to COVID-19 were exceptional in their severity, suddenness and heterogeneity across industries. To study the upstream downstream propagation of these industry-specific demand supply shocks, we build a dynamic input-output model inspired by previous work on economic response natural disasters. We argue that standard production functions, at least most parsimonious parametrizations, are not adequate input substitutability context shocks. use survey industry analysts evaluate, for each industry, which inputs absolutely necessary over short time period. calibrate our UK economy effects lockdown was imposed end March gradually released May. Looking back predictions May, show predicted aggregate dynamics very well, sectoral large extent. discuss relative extent model's performance choice function or an exogenous shock scenario. further explore behavior model, simpler scenarios with only find popular metrics used predict priori impact such as output multipliers, mildly useful.
منابع مشابه
supply and demand security of energy in central asia and the caucasus
امنیت انرژی به معنی عرضه مداوم و پایدار همراه با قیمت های معقول در حامل های انرژی، که تهدیدات امنیتی، سیاسی، اقتصادی، محیط زیستی و روانی را کاهش دهد. امروزه نفت و گاز تنها، کالای تجاری نیست بلکه بعنوان ابزار سیاسی مورد استفاده قرار می گیرد.اختلاف میان روسیه و اکراین بر سر انرژی در ژانویه 2006، تهدیدی برای امنیت انرژی اروپا ایجاد کرد. در این تحقیق ما تلاش کردیم که نقش انرژی آسیای میانه و قفقاز ر...
15 صفحه اولa contrastive analysis of concord and head parameter in english and azerbaijani
این پایان نامه به بررسی و مقایسه دو موضوع مطابقه میان فعل و فاعل (از نظر شخص و مشار) و هسته عبارت در دو زبان انگلیسی و آذربایجانی می پردازد. اول رابطه دستوری مطابقه مورد بررسی قرار می گیرد. مطابقه به این معناست که فعل مفرد به همراه فاعل مفرد و فعل جمع به همراه فاعل جمع می آید. در انگلیسی تمام افعال، بجز فعل بودن (to be) از نظر شمار با فاعلشان فقط در سوم شخص مفرد و در زمان حال مطابقت نشان میدهند...
15 صفحه اولassessment of deep word knowledge in elementary and advanced iranian efl learners: a comparison of selective and productive wat tasks
testing plays a vital role in any language teaching program. it allows teachers and stakeholders, including program administrators, parents, admissions officers and prospective employers to be assured that the learners are progressing according to an accepted standard (douglas, 2010). the problems currently facing language testers have both practical and theoretical implications but the first i...
a contrastive study of rhetorical functions of citation in iranian and international elt scopus journals
writing an academic article requires the researchers to provide support for their works by learning how to cite the works of others. various studies regarding the analysis of citation in m.a theses have been done, while little work has been done on comparison of citations among elt scopus journal articles, and so the dearth of research in this area demands for further investigation into citatio...
a fundamental study of "histiriographic metafiction", and "literary genres", as introduced in "new historical philosophy", and tracing them in the works of julian barnes.
abstract a fundamental study of “historio-graphic metafiction” and “literary genres”, as introduced in “new historical philosophy”, and tracing them in the works of julian barnes having studied the two novels, the porcupine and arthur & george, by julian barnes, the researcher has applied linda hutcheon’s historio-graphic metafictional theories to them. the thesis is divided into five cha...
15 صفحه اولذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Social Science Research Network
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1556-5068']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3788494